A theory of policy drift:
obstructionist politics as a mechanism of U.S. welfare state retrenchment
Karasev D.Yu.,
MGIMO University, Moscow, Russia, dk89@mail.ru
elibrary_id: 758653 | ORCID: 0000-0003-0682-3174 | RESEARCHER_ID: R-5619-2019
DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2022.03.11
Karasev D.Yu. A theory of policy drift: obstructionist politics as a mechanism of U.S. welfare state retrenchment. – Polis. Political Studies. 2022. No. 3. https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2022.03.11
This paper is based on work supported by Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation Grant № 075-15-2020-930 from 16.11.2020.
The article’s aim is to consider Jakob Hacker’s policy drift approach and present this promising and unrenowned approach to Russian social and political scientists and researchers. It explains institutional change in social politics with hidden efforts of obstructionist-policymakers to block adaptation of welfare state institutions to changing social and economic circumstances. Drift occurs when institutions or politics are deliberately held in place while their context shifts in ways that alter their effect. The very nature of American political institutions and political processes encourage drift and make obstructionist politics effective and favorable in terms of political costs. In such a political environment, opponents of popular and embedded welfare state institutions may find it prudent not to attack these institutions directly; instead they may impede their adaptation to shifting circumstances, remake those institutions ground-level operations or build new institutions on the top of them. The article carefully explains the policy drift approach: it investigates its historical and theoretical origins, analyze cases of U.S. welfare state retrenchment that gave rise to the idea of drift, enumerates the other ideal types of hidden welfare privatization politics besides the “drift” – “conversion” and “layering”. Furthermore, it engages in critical discussions on perspectives of the policy drift approach’s adaptation in empirical social and political studies. Since the policy drift approach emerged as special theory explaining only U.S. welfare state shrinking, it put to the fore a specific issue: could it be utilized as general theory for the same processes in another countries? The article argues that the answer is “yes” but that the approach is only reliable and valid for homological cases. Firstly, the article shows examples of extension of the drift theory’s explorations in empirical studies. Secondly, the article demonstrates, that the drift theory could be extended beyond cases of bipartisan, pluralist democracies, since in the other regimes minoritarian lobby-coalition can opt for drift strategy and obstructionist politics against reformist efforts of the majoritarian one, or vice versa.
References
Beland, D. (2007). Ideas and institutional change in social security: conversion, layering, and policy drift. Social Science Quarterly, 88(1), 20-38. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6237.2007.00444.x
Beland, D., Rocco, P., & Waddan, A. (2016). Reassessing policy drift: social policy change in the United States. Social Policy & Administration, 50(2), 201-218. https://doi.org/10.1111/spol.12211
Esping-Andersen, G. (1999). Social foundations of postindustrial economies. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.
Graham, C. (1998). Private markets for public goods: raising the stakes in economic reform. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution.
Hacker, J. (1996). National health care reform: an idea whose time came and went. Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law, 21(4), 647-696. https://doi.org/10.1215/03616878-21-4-647
Hacker, J. (2001). Learning from Defeat? Political analysis and the failure of health care reform in the United States. British Journal of Political Science, 31(1), 61-94. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123401000047
Hacker, J. (2004). Privatizing risk without privatizing the welfare state: the hidden politics of social policy retrenchment in the United States. The American Political Science Review, 98(2), 243-260. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0003055404001121
Hacker, J., & Galvin D. (2020). The political effects of policy drift: policy stalemate and American political development. Studies in American Political Development, 34(2), 216-238.
Hacker, J., & Pierson, P. (2014). After the “Master theory”: Downs, Schattschneider, and the rebirth of policy-focused analysis. Perspectives on Politics, 12(3), 643-662. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592714001637
Hacker, J., Pierson, P., & Thelen, K. (2015). Drift and conversion: hidden faces of institutional change. In J. Mahoney, K. Thelen (Ed.), Advances in Comparative-Historical Analysis (pp. 180-208). N.Y.: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316273104.008
Hacker, J., & Skocpol, T. (1997). The new politics of US health policy. Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law, 22(2), 315-338.
Hall, P. (1993). Policy paradigms, social learning and the case of economic policy making in Britain. Comparative Politics, 25(3), 275-296.
Jacobs, A., & Weaver, K. (2015). When policies undo themselves: self-undermining feedback as a source of policy change. Governance. An International Journal of Policy Administration and Institutions, 28(4), 441-457. https://doi.org/10.1111/gove.12101
Kangas, O., Lundberg, U., & Ploug, N. (2010). Three routes to pension reform: politics and institutions in reforming pensions in Denmark, Finland and Sweden. Social Policy & Administration, 44(3), 265-284. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9515.2010.00713.x
Mann, M. (1993). The sources of social power. Vol. II: the rise of classes and nation-states, 1760–1914. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Rocco, P., & Thurston, C. (2014). From metaphors to measures: observable indicators of gradual institutional change. Journal of Public Policy, 34(1), 35-62. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0143814X13000305
Schickler, E. (2001). Disjointed pluralism: institutional innovation in the U.S. Congress. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Teles, S. (1998). The dialectics of trust: ideas, finance, and pension privatization in the US and the UK. Annual Meeting of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management. New York.
Thelen, K. (2003). How institutions evolve: insights from comparative historical analysis. In J. Mahoney, D. Rueschemeyer (Ed.), Comparative Historical Analysis in the Social Sciences (pp. 208-240). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511803963.007
Thelen, K. (2004). How institutions evolve: the political economy of skills in Germany, Britain, the United States, and Japan. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511790997
Tsebelis, G. (1995). Decision making in political systems: veto players in presidentialism, parliamentarism, multicameralism and multipartyism. British Journal of Political Science, 25(3), 289-325.
See also:
Panov P.V.,
Institutionalism(s): Explanatory Models and Casuality. – Polis. Political Studies. 2015. No3
Pastukhov V.B.,
Reform of the Ministry of Interior as sublimation of the political reform in Russia. – Polis. Political Studies. 2010. No6
Zagladin N.V., Kucherenko A.A.,
Global Crisis: Reasons, Consequences and Russia (Returning to What’s Been Read). – Polis. Political Studies. 2009. No3
Bartenev V.I.,
Domestic political determinants of foreign aid instruments: a model kit. – Polis. Political Studies. 2014. No5
Melville A.Yu.,
Postponed and/or failed democratizations: why and how?. – Polis. Political Studies. 2010. No4