Evolutionary cycles and problems of forecasting political changes
Semenenko I.S.,
Dr. Sci. (Pol. Sci.), Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Head of Centre for Comparative Socioeconomic and Political Studies, Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO), Russian Academy of Sciences, isemenenko@mail.ru
elibrary_id: 251670 | ORCID: 0000-0003-2529-9283 |
DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2015.01.15
Semenenko I.S. Evolutionary cycles and problems of forecasting political changes. – Polis. Political Studies. 2015. No. 1. https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2015.01.15
The author reviews the recently published monograph (Pantin V.I., Lapkin V.V. Istoricheskoe prognozirovanie v XXI veke: Tsikly Kondrat’eva, evolyutsionnye tsikly i perspektivy mirovogo razvitiya [Historical Forecasting in the XXI Century: Kondratieff Cycles, Evolutionary Cycles and Prospects of the World Development]. Dubna: Phoenix+. 2014. 456 p.) and comes to the conclusion that it represents an original view on the key methodological problems of modern social sciences regarding analysis and forecasting of political changes.