Dynamics of political electoral preferences among residents of closed cities in Russia (1995-2003)

Dynamics of political electoral preferences among residents of closed cities in Russia (1995-2003)



Article received: 2022.05.30. Accepted: 2023.08.18


DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2024.01.09
EDN: KFBTNY

Rubric: Russia today

For citation:

Tarasenko G.K. Dynamics of political electoral preferences among residents of closed cities in Russia (1995-2003). – Polis. Political Studies. 2024. No. 1. https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2024.01.09. EDN: KFBTNY (In Russ.)


The article was prepared in the framework of a research grant funded by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (grant ID: 075-15-2022-325). The author gratefully acknowledges feedback from Olga Malinova and participants of the “Academic Writing” course at the Graduate School of Political Science (HSE University, Spring 2021), as well as from Timur Natkhov, Kyle Markquardt, and Kirill Shamiev.


Abstract

This study explores the political aspect of closed cities, which is understudied compared to their managerial and economic aspects. The author examines the association between the status of a closed city and political preferences in 1990s. The study suggests that closed cities were strongholds of both liberal and anti-communist voting. It also hypothesizes that the differences in political preferences between closed cities and the rest of Russia diminish over time. The author collects electoral data from 1995 to 2003 and employs regression analysis, finding support for these hypotheses. However, the effect of voting for the “party in power” varies depending on the specific party project. This research contributes to understanding the political uniqueness of closed cities, considering their regional characteristics and social capital.

Keywords
political preferences, voting behavior, closed city, political transit, social capital.


References

Abramson, P.R., & Inglehart, R. (1987). Generational replacement and the future of post-materialist values. The Journal of Politics, 49(1), 231-241. https://doi.org/10.2307/2131142

Batorova, D. (2010). Social’naja transformacija byvšich” zakrytych territorij” v Estonii na primere Paldiski i Sillamjae. Diplomová práce. Univerzita Karlova, Fakulta sociálních věd, Katedra ruských a východoevropských studií.

Brock, G. (1998). Public finance in the ZATO archipelago. Europe-Asia Studies, 50(6), 1065-1081. https://doi.org/10.1080/09668139808412581

Cianetti, L., Dawson, J., & Hanley, S. (2018). Rethinking “democratic backsliding” in Central and Eastern Europe–looking beyond Hungary and Poland. East European Politics, 34(3), 243-256. https://doi.org/10.1080/21599165.2018.1491401

Doll, C. N., Muller, J. P., & Morley, J. G. (2006). Mapping regional economic activity from night-time light satellite imagery. Ecological Economics, 57(1), 75-92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.03.007

Ekiert, G., & Kubik, J. (1998). Contentious Politics in New Democracies: East Germany, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia, 1989–93. World politics, 50(4), 547-581. http://www.jstor.org/stable/25054056

Enikolopov, R., Petrova, M., & Zhuravskaya, E. (2011). Media and political persuasion: Evidence from Russia. American Economic Review, 101(7), 3253-3285. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.101.7.3253

Fisher, S.D. (2004). Definition and measurement of tactical voting: the role of rational choice. British Journal of Political Science, 34(1), 152-166. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123403220391

Gentile, M. (2004). Former closed cities and urbanisation in the FSU: an exploration in Kazakhstan. Europe-Asia Studies, 56(2), 263-278. https://doi.org/10.1080/0966813042000190533

Godoy, S., & Stiglitz, J. E. (2007). Growth, initial conditions, law and speed of privatization in transition countries: 11 years later. In Transition and Beyond: Essays in Honor of Mario Nuti (pp. 89-117). London: Palgrave Macmillan UK. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230

Guriev, S.*, & Treisman, D. (2019). Informational autocrats. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(4), 100-127. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.33.4.100

Havrylyshyn, O., & McGettigan, D. (2000). Privatization in transition countries. Post-Soviet Affairs, 16(3), 257-286. https://doi.org/10.1080/1060586X.2000.10641488

Hale, H.E. (2009). The myth of mass authoritarianism in Russia. Public Opinion Foundations of a Hybrid Regime. URL: https://www.ucis.pitt.edu/nceeer/2009_823-03_Hale.pdf

Henderson, J.V., Storeygard, A., & Weil, D.N. (2012). Measuring economic growth from outer space. American Economic Review, 102(2), 994-1028. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.102.2.994

Homeland, G., & Jorgensen, A.K. (1998). Closed cities on the Kola Peninsula: from autonomy to integration? Polar Geography, 22(4), 231-248. https://doi.org/10.1080/10889379809377655

Hillygus, D.S. (2005). The missing link: exploring the relationship between higher education and political engagement. Political Behavior, 27(1), 25-47. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-005-3075-8

Hünermund, P., & Louw, B. (2020). On the nuisance of control variables in regression analysis. arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.10314.

Ivanov, D. (2016). Human capital and knowledge-intensive industries location: evidence from Soviet legacy in Russia. The Journal of Economic History, 76(3), 736-768. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050716000802

Kolossov, V., Vizgalov, D., & Borodulina, N. (2003). Voting behaviour in Russian cities, 1995–2000. Journal of Communist Studies and Transition Politics, 19(4), 25-40. https://doi.org/10.1080/13523270300660027

Natkhov, T., & Pyle, W. (2023). Revealed in transition: The political effect of planning’s legacy. European Economic Review, 159, 104567. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104567

Turchenko, M., & Golosov, G. V. (2021). Smart enough to make a difference? An empirical test of the efficacy of strategic voting in Russia’s authoritarian elections. Post-Soviet Affairs, 37(1), 65-79. https://doi.org/10.1080/1060586X.2020.1796386

Tansel, C.B. (2018). Authoritarian neoliberalism and democratic backsliding in Turkey: Beyond the narratives of progress. South European Society and Politics, 23(2), 197-217. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2018.1479945

Turovsky, R., Koroteeva, P.P., & Rusanova, K.A. (2020). Nationalization of Russia’s Party System: Local Dimension and Regional Patterns. Higher School of Economics Research Paper No. WP BRP, 72. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3524884

Gelman, V.Ya. (2008). Political parties in Russia: from competition – to hierarchy. Polis. Political Studies, 5, 135-152. (In Russ.)

Gelman, V.Ya. (2019). “Nedostoinoe pravlenie”: politika v sovremennoi Rossii [The politics of bad governance in contemporary Russia]. St. Petersburg: EUSP Press. (In Russ.)

Golosov, G.V., & Liechtenstein, A.V. (2001). The “power parties” and the Russian institutional design: theoretical analysis. Polis. Political Studies, 1, 6-14. (In Russ.)

Lappo, G., & Polian, P. (1998). Closed cities in Russia. Socilogical Studies, 2, 43-48. (In Russ.)

Phaykov D.Yu. (2010). Closed administrative-territorial entity as a field of state’s interests. Problemnyi analiz i gosudarstvenno-upravlencheskoe proektirovanie, 3(2), 111-115.

Content No. 1, 2024

See also:


Polyakov L.V.,
Russians electoral behaviour. – Polis. Political Studies. 2011. No6

Filippov Yu.M.,
Electoral Behaviour of the Electors to the State Duma of the Beginning of the 20th Century 142. – Polis. Political Studies. 2003. No4

Round Table of the «Polis» Journal, Rakitiansky N.M., Smulkina N.V., Palitay I.S., Zatonskikh A.V., Evgenyeva T.V., Selezneva A.V., Cherdantzeva A.M., Nikiforov A.R., Bogdan I.V., Ahmatnurova S.F., Samarkina I.V., Bukreyeva O.V., Shestopal Ye.B., Shcherbinin A.I., Shcherbinina N.G., Yanitzky M.S., Titov V.V.,
Political behavior: unconscious mechanisms and their rationalization. – Polis. Political Studies. 2013. No6

Polyakov L.V.,
Decline of plebiscitary democracy?. – Polis. Political Studies. 2014. No2

Bykov I.A., Hall T.E.,
Digital divide and the Internet-users political preferences in Russia. – Polis. Political Studies. 2011. No5

 

   

Introducing an article



Polis. Political Studies
3 2003


Neklessa A.I.
Lord of the Air

 The article text (электронная версия)
 

Archive

   2024      2023      2022      2021   
   2020      2019      2018      2017      2016   
   2015      2014      2013      2012      2011   
   2010      2009      2008      2007      2006   
   2005      2004      2003      2002      2001   
   2000      1999      1998      1997      1996   
   1995      1994      1993      1992      1991