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версия для печатиОтвет Индии и Пакистана на инициативу “один пояс - один путь” и будущее “века Азии”
Бхуйян М. ,
Университет Шаньси, Тайюань, КНР, shakil027-pss@sust.edu
Ван И. ,
Университет Шаньси, Тайюань, КНР, wangyi999@sxu.edu.cn
Дата поступления статьи: 2023.12.30. Принята к печати: 2024.09.11
DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2025.02.03
EDN: ALLNGZ
Правильная ссылка на статью:
Бхуйян М. , Ван И. Ответ Индии и Пакистана на инициативу “один пояс - один путь” и будущее “века Азии”. – Полис. Политические исследования. 2025. № 2. С. 25-41. https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2025.02.03. EDN: ALLNGZ (на английском языке)
Аннотация
В статье рассматриваются факторы, воздействующие на различные подходы Индии и Пакистана к инициативе “Один пояс - один путь” (ОПОП). Проведенный анализ призван осмыслить значение индийско-китайских отношений для вектора развития “века Азии” . Авторы приходят к выводу, что исторические паттерны в отношениях Китая, Индии и Пакистана, экономические условия, а также быстро меняющийся региональный и глобальный геополитический ландшафт являются влиятельными факторами, которые обусловливают реакцию Индии и Пакистана на ОПОП. Перечисленные факторы также оказывают значительное влияние на их двусторонние отношения. В статье рассматривается возможность нормализации сотрудничества между Индией и Китаем, учитывая связи Китая с Пакистаном, подход Индии к ОПОП и более широкую динамику политики великих держав в регионе вокруг Индийского океана. Исследование, базирующееся на эмпирических материалах, показало, что, несмотря на глубинные разногласия и различия между Китаем и Индией, между ними существует комплекс инструментов, регулирующих их взаимозависимость в частности в экономической сфере. Хотя трехсторонний механизм сотрудничества нереализуем в нынешних условиях, нормализация отношений Индии и Китая и Индии и Пакистана может быть достигнута посредством конкурентного сосуществования с минимальными конфликтами. Нормализация отношений между тремя странами может предоставить возможность продвинуть концепцию “века Азии”. Главные результаты вторичного анализа: во-первых, выявлены нестратегические и неконфликтные сферы, в которых Индия и Китай и Индия и Пакистан могут сотрудничать с целью укрепления отношений за пределами ОПОП; во-вторых, предложена единая система сотрудничества, которая учитывает все аспекты анализа для установления отношений совместимости в условиях конкурентного сосуществования.
Ключевые слова
“Один пояс — один путь”, век Азии, реакция Индии и Пакистана, индийско-китайские отношения, общие принципы сотрудничества.
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